Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines
Penn State Nittany Lions3-2
Michigan Wolverines3-2Two 3-2 Big Ten teams, both riding two-game losing streaks, meet at Michigan Stadium in a rivalry that has swung three of the last five meetings to the Wolverines.
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- Penn State and Michigan are both 3-2 entering Ann Arbor, with the fair price in the markets sitting at +194 and -199 respectively on early lookaheads.
- Penn State is 3-2 in 2026, Michigan is 3-2, and both programs are coming off back-to-back losses heading into this Big Ten clash.
- Michigan has won three of the last five meetings in this series, including a 41-17 result the last time the teams met at Michigan Stadium in 2022.
Lines at a glance
Where this game is priced right now. Every number is peer to peer, so there is no house margin in it.
Moneyline
Spread
Penn State vs Michigan preview
The Market and the BettorEdge Opportunity
The fair price in the markets is +194 for Penn State and -199 for Michigan. That is exactly where you step in: BettorEdge is a peer-to-peer marketplace where you set your own number and trade against other bettors, no house vig baked in. Post your price now before the market firms up.
Form: Two Stumbling Teams, One Big Stage
Penn State opened 3-0 with wins over Marshall, Temple, and Buffalo, then dropped back-to-back games, 20-24 at home to Wisconsin and 13-34 at Northwestern. The Nittany Lions are averaging 32 points per game on the season. Michigan also started 3-0, beating Western Michigan, Oklahoma, and UTEP, then lost 19-20 at home to Iowa and 14-20 at Minnesota. The Wolverines are scoring just 23 points per game and allowing 15.8, built on defense more than offense. Both offenses arrive here carrying questions.
Recent Meetings: Michigan Has Owned This Series
Over the last five meetings, Michigan has won three, including a 41-17 win at Michigan Stadium in October 2022 and a 24-15 win at Penn State in November 2023. Penn State's two wins in that window came in 2019 and 2020. This game is back in Ann Arbor, where Michigan won by 24 the last time these teams met on this field. The series trend favors the Wolverines, though both programs look less dominant in 2026 than they did in those earlier meetings.
How the Game Sets Up
Michigan's defense, allowing under 16 points per game, matches up against a Penn State offense that has been inconsistent since its early-season blowout wins. Penn State's defense has allowed only 16 points per game as well, which sets up a potential low-scoring affair. No spread or total is available yet.
How to play it
Michigan's home field advantage and four wins in the last five meetings are the clearest data points available. Watch the BettorEdge board for early community lean once orders start posting, because in a game this evenly matched on paper, the open interest will tell you something no traditional sportsbook can.
2026 season so far
Every result both teams have posted this season, with scoring averages.
- vs MarshallW 45-0
- at TempleW 27-9
- vs BuffaloW 55-13
- vs WisconsinL 20-24
- at NorthwesternL 13-34
Went 7-6 in 2025. Current streak: L2. Home: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA.
- vs Western MichiganW 13-12
- vs OklahomaW 17-10
- vs UTEPW 52-17
- vs IowaL 19-20
- at MinnesotaL 14-20
Went 9-4 in 2025. Current streak: L2. Home: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI.
Matchup history
Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan Wolverines last played on Saturday, Nov 11, 2023, when the Michigan Wolverines won 24–15. Over the last 5 meetings: Michigan Wolverines 3, Penn State Nittany Lions 2.
MICHMichigan Wolverines@PSUPenn State Nittany Lions24–15MICHPSUPenn State Nittany Lions@MICHMichigan Wolverines17–41MICHMICHMichigan Wolverines@PSUPenn State Nittany Lions21–17MICHPSUPenn State Nittany Lions@MICHMichigan Wolverines27–17PSUMICHMichigan Wolverines@PSUPenn State Nittany Lions21–28PSUMeetings from the last 8 seasons, from ESPN.
Preseason scouting report
Penn State Nittany Lions
- New head coach in Matt Campbell (Iowa State Head Coach)
- New offensive coordinator in Taylor Mouser (Iowa State Offensive Coordinator and TE Coach) and defensive coordinator in D’Anton Lynn (USC Defensive Coordinator)
- One offensive starter from last season returns (offensive lineman)
- Iowa State transfer Rocco Becht is expected to start at QB(2,584 yards, 16 TDs, 9 INTs; 116 rushing yards, 8 rushing TDs)
Michigan Wolverines
- New head coach in Kyle Whittingham (Utah Head Coach)
- New offensive coordinator in Jason Beck (Utah Offensive Coordinator and QB Coach) and new defensive coordinator in Jay Hill (BYU Defensive Coordinator and Safeties Coach)
- Bryce Underwood returns at QB after a freshman season of 2,428 yards, 11 TDs, and 9 INTs, as well as 392 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs
- Jordan Marshall returns at RB after a freshman season of 932 yards and 10 TDs
The rest of the slate
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Frequently asked questions
What time does Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines start?+
Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines kicks off Saturday, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, MI. Start times are listed in Eastern; check your own zone if you are watching from elsewhere.
Who is favored in Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines?+
The Michigan Wolverines are favored at -223 on the moneyline on BettorEdge and -5.5 on the spread. Prices move as money comes in, and on BettorEdge you can set your own number on either side.
What is the spread for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines?+
The spread is Michigan Wolverines -5.5, priced by the BettorEdge community rather than a house. Because the market is peer-to-peer you can also set your own number and wait for someone to take it.
What are Penn State and Michigan's records in 2026?+
The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-2 and the Michigan Wolverines are 3-2 this season. Penn State is scoring 32 points a game and allowing 16; Michigan is scoring 23 and allowing 15.8.
When did Penn State and Michigan last play?+
They last met on Saturday, Nov 11, 2023, when Michigan Wolverines won 24-15 at Beaver Stadium. Over the last 5 meetings in the past 8 seasons, Penn State has won 2 and Michigan 3.
What is the "community lean" on this game?+
It is the share of real money posted on each team on the BettorEdge peer-to-peer order book, currently leaning toward the Michigan Wolverines. Because every price is backed by another bettor, the open interest is a genuine read on what the community believes.
When do the lines lock?+
Markets lock at kickoff, Saturday, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET. Prices move as money comes in beforehand, so the community lean and the best number can shift right up until the game starts.
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