The 2026 3M Open runs Thursday, July 23 through Sunday, July 26 at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, and this year Minnesota's only PGA Tour stop gets the headliner it has been waiting for. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is in the field for the first time, the first world No. 1 to play the event since Brooks Koepka in 2019. He arrives four days after a T4 at the Open Championship at Royal Birkdale, chasing a second win of 2026, on a golf course he has never seen. Behind him sits a bunched board of 143 other players, most of them staring at a FedExCup cutline that closes in two weeks. Here is the full preview: the course, the form, the weather, the community odds board, and a reasoned read on where the value sits.
Quick comparison: who to watch at TPC Twin Cities
| Player | Angle |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | World No. 1 making his 3M Open debut, an enormous favorite on a course he has never played |
| Kurt Kitayama | Defending champion, trying to become the first repeat winner in the event's history |
| Jake Knapp | T3 here last year at 20 under, healthy again and one of the Tour's best birdie-makers |
| Tom Kim | Genesis Scottish Open champion two weeks ago, with a strong course record at Blaine |
| Keith Mitchell | Elite in birdies-or-better gained, a profile that fits a scoring week |
| Michael Brennan | Longshot with the driving numbers this course has historically rewarded |
Event: 2026 3M Open, PGA Tour, $8.8 million purse
Dates: Thursday, July 23 to Sunday, July 26, 2026
Venue: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, Minnesota (par 71, 7,431 yards)
Watch: Golf Channel Thursday and Friday 4 to 7 p.m. ET, Golf Channel 1 to 3 p.m. ET and CBS 3 to 6 p.m. ET on Saturday and Sunday
Stream: PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ from 7:45 a.m. ET Thursday and Friday, 8 a.m. ET Saturday and Sunday, with CBS simulcast on Paramount+
Tournament overview: dates, purse, and what is at stake
The 3M Open is in its eighth straight year at TPC Twin Cities, and it lands at the most interesting spot on the calendar. The Wyndham Championship on August 3 to 9 is the regular season finale, which means this is the second-to-last chance for anyone outside the top 70 in FedExCup points to play their way into the playoffs. That changes how the week feels. A player sitting in the 60s or low 70s is not managing a card here, he is chasing a result.
The purse is $8.8 million with $1.58 million and 500 FedExCup points to the winner. The field is 144 players with 53 of the top 125 in the Official World Golf Ranking and golfers from 21 countries. Scheffler headlines. Behind him, the leaderboard-relevant names are largely players with a reason to press: Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, Maverick McNealy and Max Homa are all inside the playoff picture but not comfortably so.
Two notable absences shape the board. Ryan Fox, fresh off winning the Claret Jug at Royal Birkdale, skipped the trip to Minnesota. Jordan Spieth was floated as a possible entry but is not on the final list.
The course: a scoreable Arnold Palmer design with teeth
TPC Twin Cities is an Arnold Palmer design that opened in 2000 on the site of a former sod farm, about 15 miles north of the Twin Cities. It plays as a par 71 at 7,431 yards over flat, open ground with bentgrass greens that hold approach shots well. Winning scores tell you most of what you need to know: 15 under in 2021, 17 under in 2022, 24 under in 2023, 17 under in 2024, and 23 under last year. Somebody is going to go deep.
What separates this from a pure birdie fest is the water. It is in play on 15 of the 18 holes and guards five greens, with out of bounds scattered around the property. Penalty rate, reload percentage, and the cost of a missed fairway all rank inside the top 15 on Tour at this venue. That creates the specific personality of the place: keep the ball in play and nearly every hole is birdie-able, spray it and you can eject from the tournament on a single swing.
The historical winner profile leans long. Matthew Wolff, Cameron Champ, Tony Finau and Kurt Kitayama are not short hitters, and driving distance has been the loudest correlate to success here. The honest read is that both things are true at once. Distance gets you wedges into receptive greens on three par 5s that all stretch past 590 yards, but the penalty structure means a bomber who cannot find the short grass is a worse bet here than at a wide-open venue. The winning profile is a long player who is not wild.
Weather: hot, dry, and one windy afternoon
The forecast is close to ideal for scoring. Thursday sets up partly cloudy with a high near 83 and light southwest wind. Friday is sunny and 83 but the breeze picks up to 10 to 20 mph out of the southwest, which is the one genuine defense the course gets all week. Then it turns hot: highs near 94 on Saturday and 93 on Sunday with light wind and only a small chance of a storm. Rain chances sit in single digits Thursday and Friday. Firm and fast plus soft wind is a recipe for another deep number.
Contenders to watch at the 3M Open
Scottie Scheffler: the biggest name this event has ever drawn
Scheffler is the best player in the world and by a wide margin the biggest name in this field, which is exactly why the board looks the way it does. He opened 2026 by winning the American Express by four shots at 27 under, his 20th PGA Tour title and the fastest anyone has reached 20 wins before turning 30 since Tiger Woods. He has led the FedExCup for most of the season. He just posted a T4 at the Open Championship.
The case against him is not about talent, it is about the specific week. This is his first look at TPC Twin Cities, he is coming off a major on links turf onto bentgrass, and he is playing an event where the winning score has twice topped 23 under. Scheffler wins by grinding out an advantage over four rounds, and a course that hands the whole field wedges compresses that advantage. He is still the most likely single winner. The question is whether he is 27 percent likely, which is what the price says.
Kurt Kitayama: the defending champion with history against him
Kitayama won here last year at 23 under, going 60 to 65 on the weekend and holding off Sam Stevens by one. He birdied six of his first eight holes on Sunday and still made bogey on the par-3 17th for the third straight day, which tells you how much room this course gives a hot player. He has backed it up in 2026 with a T2 at the Genesis Invitational and a T10 at the PGA Championship, so the form is real.
The obstacle is history. No player has won the 3M Open twice in seven editions, and Kitayama sits around 32nd in FedExCup points, comfortable enough for the playoffs but not so comfortable that he can coast. He fits the course. He is fighting the pattern.
Jake Knapp: the course-fit pick
Knapp finished T3 at TPC Twin Cities last year at 20 under, and the underlying numbers back up the result rather than explain it away. He ranks 13th on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage, and he has been gaining more than half a stroke per round with both his approach play and his putter. Injuries derailed what looked like a breakout stretch earlier in the year. He is healthy now.
That combination is unusually well suited to this week: length off the tee, a hot putter on receptive bentgrass, and proof he can post a number on this exact property. On a course where the winner is going to make 25-plus birdies, the birdie-rate leaders matter more than they do most weeks.
Tom Kim: recent winner with a Blaine track record
Kim won the Genesis Scottish Open two weeks ago and finished third at the U.S. Open earlier this summer, though he missed the cut at Royal Birkdale. His course history here is the sell: across eight career rounds at TPC Twin Cities he has produced roughly plus 0.77 true strokes gained per round, and he is among the more accurate drivers in the field with about 1.40 strokes gained on approach over his last 16 rounds. Accuracy plus irons is the safest way to survive the water.
Keith Mitchell, Hideki Matsuyama, and the middle of the board
Mitchell ranks inside the top 10 on Tour in birdies-or-better gained and posted a T4 at the U.S. Open before missing the cut at the Open. He is a long, streaky player who catches fire on scoreable setups. Matsuyama is the most decorated name after Scheffler and sits around 37th in FedExCup points, which is exactly the range where a player shows up motivated. Maverick McNealy and Max Homa are both hovering near the 50 mark in points, and Corey Conners brings the accuracy profile the course asks for.
Longshots with a real case
Michael Brennan ranks third in the field in driving distance over the past three months and tied for fifth in strokes gained off the tee across that same window, with a T6 at the Charles Schwab Challenge on his card. Aldrich Potgieter leads the field in driving distance at roughly 330 yards per drive, which is the single most extreme version of the profile this course has historically rewarded. Lucas Glover is a different kind of dart: he finished T3 at the John Deere Classic and T5 at the ISCO Championship this summer, and he was T7 here back in 2019.
The longshot pattern nobody should ignore
Here is the stat that should shape how you play this week. Each of the last three 3M Open champions, Lee Hodges in 2023, Jhonattan Vegas in 2024 and Kurt Kitayama in 2025, closed at longer than 50/1 in pre-tournament outright markets. Hodges won by seven, the largest margin in event history, after taking a five-shot lead into Sunday. No champion has repeated across seven playings.
A 144-player field, a course that gives everyone a wedge, and three straight winners priced over 50/1. That is a market telling you the top of the board is where the risk lives, not the value.
3M Open 2026 odds: the community board
Here is a BettorEdge community snapshot of the outright winner market for the 2026 3M Open. Outright prices on a 144-man field move constantly once the leaderboard develops, so treat these as a starting point and check the live board before you back anything.
| Player | Community odds (to win) | Implied win chance |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +270 | 27.0% |
| Kurt Kitayama | +2200 | 4.3% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +2600 | 3.7% |
| Maverick McNealy | +2600 | 3.7% |
| Keith Mitchell | +2800 | 3.4% |
| Jake Knapp | +3000 | 3.2% |
| Tom Kim | +3300 | 2.9% |
| Corey Conners | +4500 | 2.2% |
| Max Homa | +4500 | 2.2% |
| Michael Brennan | +5200 | 1.9% |
| Aldrich Potgieter | +5300 | 1.9% |
| Lucas Glover | +11000 | 0.9% |
Start with the shape of the board rather than any single name. Scheffler at +270 implies about a 27 percent chance to win, and that is an extraordinary number for a full-field event. For context, a genuine favorite at a major usually sits closer to 12 or 13 percent. The market is saying that one player in a 144-man field is roughly as likely to win as the next eight names combined. That is a defensible read on how much better Scheffler is than this specific group, and it is also the exact spot where a price gets stretched past its true value.
The rest of the board is flat by comparison. Kitayama at +2200 is about 4.3 percent, and everything from Matsuyama down to Tom Kim clusters between 2.9 and 3.7 percent. In practice that means the market has almost no conviction about who the second-best bet is, which is where the actual hunting happens.
Where the price and the player come apart
Scheffler is the most likely winner and there is nothing clever about pretending otherwise. But +270 asks you to lay a short number on a player making his first competitive lap of a golf course, in an event whose last three champions all closed over 50/1, at a venue where the field goes 20-plus under and separation is hard to manufacture. Whether that is a price worth paying is the question the board is really asking.
Further down, a few profiles fit what this course rewards. Jake Knapp at +3000 has already gone 20 under on this exact property, sits 13th on Tour in birdie-or-better percentage, is gaining better than half a stroke per round with both irons and putter, and is finally healthy: a course-proven scorer priced at about 3 percent in a week decided by who makes the most birdies. Tom Kim at +3300 has a Scottish Open win two weeks ago, a plus 0.77 true strokes gained per round mark at TPC Twin Cities, and the accuracy to keep the ball out of the water. Michael Brennan at +5200 has the distance profile this course pays.
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Beyond the outright: where the smaller markets sit
On a field event, outrights are the fun bet and the finishing-position markets are usually the sharper one. A 3 percent win chance is a coin toss dressed up as a bet, while a top-10 or top-20 on the same player asks a question you can actually answer with course fit and current form.
The names that make the most sense in those markets this week are the accuracy-and-irons profiles rather than the pure bombers, because a top-20 finish is mostly a question of avoiding one blow-up hole. Ben Kohles has been the most accurate driver in the field over everyone's last 16 measured rounds. Davis Thompson ranks seventh on Tour in proximity from 175 to 200 yards, which is the yardage band this course keeps handing players. Mac Meissner has improved from T59 to T14 in successive trips to Blaine. None of those are win candidates. All three are reasonable finishing-position looks if the price is right.
Open the live 3M Open board
Prices move fast on a field event once Thursday tee times start. See the live BettorEdge board and take the number you actually want instead of the one you are handed.
Tools to check before you back a pick
Know the real math before you lock anything in. Turn any outright price into a true win probability with the implied probability calculator, strip the built-in margin out of a board with the no-vig calculator, and size your payout with the betting calculator. You can follow the week's prices and other golf markets on the BettorEdge golf hub.
3M Open 2026 FAQ
When is the 2026 3M Open?
The 2026 3M Open runs Thursday, July 23 through Sunday, July 26, 2026, at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.
How can I watch the 3M Open?
Golf Channel carries coverage from 4 to 7 p.m. ET on Thursday and Friday. On Saturday and Sunday, Golf Channel has 1 to 3 p.m. ET and CBS takes over from 3 to 6 p.m. ET. PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ streams early coverage from 7:45 a.m. ET Thursday and Friday and 8 a.m. ET on the weekend, and Paramount+ simulcasts the CBS window.
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 3M Open?
Scottie Scheffler is a heavy favorite at around +270, which implies about a 27 percent chance to win. Defending champion Kurt Kitayama is the second choice near +2200, with Hideki Matsuyama and Maverick McNealy around +2600.
Who is the defending 3M Open champion?
Kurt Kitayama won the 2025 3M Open at 23 under par, closing with rounds of 60 and 65 to beat Sam Stevens by one shot. No player has ever won this event twice.
What is the purse for the 2026 3M Open?
The purse is $8.8 million. The winner takes $1.58 million and 500 FedExCup points.
What kind of golf course is TPC Twin Cities?
It is an Arnold Palmer design that opened in 2000, playing as a par 71 at 7,431 yards on flat, open ground with bentgrass greens. Water is in play on 15 holes and guards five greens, so it scores low but punishes wayward driving harder than most birdie-fest venues.
Why do longshots keep winning the 3M Open?
The event draws a full 144-player field without many elite names, and the course gives the whole field scoring chances rather than separating on ball-striking alone. Each of the last three champions, Lee Hodges, Jhonattan Vegas and Kurt Kitayama, closed at longer than 50/1 before the tournament started.
How do I bet on the 3M Open?
Pick your outright or your finishing-position bet and place it on BettorEdge against another real bettor at a community price. New here? You can get up to $100 after you verify your ID, no deposit needed.
Is betting on BettorEdge legal?
Yes. BettorEdge is a peer-to-peer betting marketplace, legal across 45+ states, with identity verification built in. You are matched against other people, not a house that profits when you lose.
The bottom line
The 2026 3M Open has the biggest headliner in its history and, at the same time, is one of the most wide-open weeks on the schedule. Scottie Scheffler will draw the cameras and the money, but TPC Twin Cities has spent seven years handing the trophy to somebody nobody circled on Monday, and a hot, calm forecast points at another 20-under number. The smart way to play a field event is to respect the favorite and buy the value below him. Jake Knapp and Tom Kim are where that value sits.
Compare prices before Thursday's first tee
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