Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears odds, spread & prediction
Iowa State Cyclones3-4
Baylor Bears4-3Baylor hosts Iowa State at McLane Stadium in a Big 12 conference game where the Bears are big favorites despite both teams carrying two-game losing streaks into Saturday.
See the full college football board & lines →Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears prediction: who is favored
The market favors the Baylor Bears at -355 on the moneyline, a 72% implied chance to win.
BettorEdge community odds as of Oct 27. This is what bettors are pricing, not a pick, and it moves as money comes in.
At a glance
- Baylor is the home favorite; the fair price in the markets is -355
- Iowa State is 3-4 on the year, Baylor is 4-3, and both enter on L2 skids
- Iowa State has won two straight in this series, including a 43-21 road win last October
Lines at a glance
Where this game is priced right now. Every number is peer to peer, so there is no house margin in it.
No spread is shown for this game. The market has not settled on one number yet, and a spread we cannot confirm against the moneyline is worse than none at all.
Iowa State vs Baylor preview
The Market and Community Signal
The fair price in the markets is -355 for Baylor and +223 for Iowa State. That is exactly where BettorEdge lets you step in: set your own number, post it, and let the community trade against you without a vig eating into your return.
Form and Scoring
Baylor's résumé has two very different faces. The Bears beat Colorado and Arizona State by a combined 46 points, then lost back-to-back games to TCU at home and at Kansas, giving up 42 points total in those two. Their defense has been the real story at 16.1 points allowed per game on the season. Iowa State is averaging 25.9 points per game but just put up 3 at Arizona and 10 at BYU, dropping two straight road games by significant margins. The Cyclones' 3-4 record includes all four losses coming away from home or against Big 12 opponents.
Recent Meetings
Iowa State has won the last two in this series, 43-21 in Ames in October 2024 and 30-18 at McLane Stadium in October 2023. Before that stretch, Baylor took back-to-back wins in 2021 and 2022. Over the last six meetings the series splits 3-3, with the home team winning four of those six. McLane Stadium is Baylor's venue Saturday, which favors the Bears based on that pattern, though Iowa State won here as recently as 2023.
How the Game Sets Up
Baylor's defense allowing just 16.1 points per game is the most relevant number on the board, especially against an Iowa State offense that has gone quiet in two straight. The wide market price reflects that edge clearly.
How to play it
Baylor is the clear market favorite at home, and their defensive numbers back it up against an Iowa State team that has struggled badly on the road. Iowa State's recent series edge is real, but this Cyclones offense has been inconsistent enough to make a big road win a hard ask. Post your number on BettorEdge before the line fills in and let the community come to you.
2026 season so far
Every result both teams have posted this season, with scoring averages.
- vs Southeast Missouri StateW 38-10
- at IowaL 13-16
- vs Bowling GreenW 55-7
- vs UtahL 17-31
- vs West VirginiaW 45-42
- at BYUL 10-24
- at ArizonaL 3-39
Went 8-4 in 2025. Current streak: L2.
- vs AuburnL 16-17
- vs Prairie View A&MW 44-3
- vs Louisiana TechW 36-19
- vs ColoradoW 23-13
- at Arizona StateW 55-19
- vs TCUL 6-17
- at KansasL 24-25
Went 5-7 in 2025. Current streak: L2.
Matchup history
Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears last played on Saturday, Oct 5, 2024, when the Iowa State Cyclones won 43–21. The last 6 meetings are split 3-3.
BAYBaylor Bears@ISUIowa State Cyclones21–43ISUISUIowa State Cyclones@BAYBaylor Bears30–18ISUBAYBaylor Bears@ISUIowa State Cyclones31–24BAYISUIowa State Cyclones@BAYBaylor Bears29–31BAYBAYBaylor Bears@ISUIowa State Cyclones31–38ISUISUIowa State Cyclones@BAYBaylor Bears21–23BAYMeetings from the last 8 seasons, from ESPN.
Preseason scouting report
Iowa State Cyclones
- New head coach in Jimmy Rogers (Washington State Head Coach)
- New offensive coordinator in Tyler Roehl (Detroit Lions TE Coach) and defensive coordinator in Jesse Bobbit (Washington State Defensive Coordinator)
- No offensive or defensive starters from last season return
- Arkansas State transfer Jaylen Raynor is expected to start at QB (3,361 yards, 19 TDs, and 11 INTs; 423 rushing yards, 7 rushing TDs)
Baylor Bears
- New defensive coordinator in Joe Klanderman (Kansas State defensive coordinator and safeties coach)
- Only one offensive starter returns (Offensive Lineman)
- Florida transfer QB DJ Lagway is expected to start (2,264 yards, 16 TDs, 14 INTs)
- Returner Dawson Pendergrass is expected to start at RB (DNP in 2025 with injury; 671 yards, 6 TDs in 2024)
The rest of the slate
Every other Power 5 game with a live market right now.
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Frequently asked questions
What time does Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears start?+
Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears kicks off Saturday, Nov 7, 1:00 PM ET at McLane Stadium. Start times are listed in Eastern; check your own zone if you are watching from elsewhere.
Who is favored in Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?+
The Baylor Bears are favored at -355 on the moneyline in prediction markets. Prices move as money comes in, and on BettorEdge you can set your own number on either side.
What is the spread for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?+
No spread is posted for this game yet. College markets open later and move more than NFL markets, and we would rather show you nothing than a number we cannot confirm.
What are Iowa State and Baylor's records in 2026?+
The Iowa State Cyclones are 3-4 and the Baylor Bears are 4-3 this season. Iowa State is scoring 25.9 points a game and allowing 24.1; Baylor is scoring 29.1 and allowing 16.1.
When did Iowa State and Baylor last play?+
They last met on Saturday, Oct 5, 2024, when Iowa State Cyclones won 43-21 at Jack Trice Stadium. Over the last 6 meetings in the past 8 seasons, Iowa State has won 3 and Baylor 3.
What is the "community lean" on this game?+
It is the share of real money posted on each team on the BettorEdge peer-to-peer order book. Because every price is backed by another bettor, the open interest is a genuine read on what the community believes.
When do the lines lock?+
Markets lock at kickoff, Saturday, Nov 7, 1:00 PM ET. Prices move as money comes in beforehand, so the community lean and the best number can shift right up until the game starts.
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