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Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs odds, spread & prediction

Kansas State WildcatsKansas State Wildcats4-4
vs
TCU Horned FrogsTCU Horned Frogs4-4
College Football · Saturday, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET · Amon G. Carter Stadium · Big 12 game

Two 4-4 Big 12 teams meet at Amon G. Carter Stadium. TCU is a heavy favorite at home, but Kansas State has owned this series recently.

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Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction: who is favored

The market favors the TCU Horned Frogs at -300 on the moneyline, a 71% implied chance to win.

BettorEdge community odds as of Nov 8. This is what bettors are pricing, not a pick, and it moves as money comes in.

At a glance

  • TCU is the home favorite at -300, with Kansas State at +223 in the market
  • Both teams are 4-4 overall in 2026
  • Kansas State has won five of the last six meetings, including a 41-28 decision in 2025

Lines at a glance

Where this game is priced right now. Every number is peer to peer, set by bettors rather than a sportsbook.

Moneyline

TCU Horned Frogs
Prediction markets -300Beat it →
Kansas State Wildcats
Prediction markets +223Beat it →
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No spread is shown for this game. The market has not settled on one number yet, and a spread we cannot confirm against the moneyline is worse than none at all.

Kansas State vs TCU preview

The Market Signal

The fair price in the markets has TCU at -300 and Kansas State at +223. That is your invitation to set your own number on BettorEdge and let the peer-to-peer market come to you,

The Matchup

Both programs are 4-4 and in genuine need of wins. TCU's defense has been the story, allowing just 14.1 points per game, well ahead of Kansas State's 21.9 allowed. Kansas State is scoring 31.8 points per game but arrives on a two-game losing skid, with road losses at Arizona State and Colorado. TCU snapped a losing run with a 22-16 win over Kansas last week and plays at home.

Series History Worth Watching

Over the last six meetings Kansas State holds a 5-1 edge, including a 41-3 blowout in 2023 and a 41-28 win in Manhattan last October. The one TCU win in that window came at this exact venue in 2022, a 38-28 Horned Frogs victory. The Wildcats have not won at Amon G. Carter Stadium since a 21-14 decision in 2020. Common opponent Kansas is the one like-for-like read available: Kansas State won 35-24, TCU won 22-16.

How to play it

TCU's defensive efficiency and home advantage explain the market's lean toward the Frogs, but Kansas State's series dominance and scoring output make +223 worth considering for a team that has covered the underdog role repeatedly in this rivalry.

2026 season so far

Every result both teams have posted this season, with scoring averages.

Big 12
Kansas State Wildcats
4-4
Record
31.8
Points/game
21.9
Allowed/game
  • vs NichollsW 71-3
  • vs Washington StateW 34-7
  • vs TulaneW 31-20
  • at CincinnatiL 26-31
  • vs HoustonL 16-35
  • vs KansasW 35-24
  • at Arizona StateL 17-28
  • at ColoradoL 24-27

Went 6-6 in 2025. Current streak: L2.

Big 12
TCU Horned Frogs
4-4
Record
23.3
Points/game
14.1
Allowed/game
  • vs North CarolinaL 10-15
  • vs GramblingW 63-7
  • vs Arkansas StateW 31-7
  • at UCFL 13-21
  • vs BYUL 10-17
  • at BaylorW 17-6
  • vs West VirginiaL 20-24
  • vs KansasW 22-16

Went 9-4 in 2025. Current streak: W1.

Common opponents

Teams both sides have already played this season.

  • KansasKansas State: W 35-24TCU: W 22-16

Matchup history

Kansas State Wildcats and TCU Horned Frogs last played on Saturday, Oct 11, 2025, when the Kansas State Wildcats won 41–28. Over the last 6 meetings: Kansas State Wildcats 5, TCU Horned Frogs 1.

Oct 11, 2025TCU@KSU28–41KSU
Oct 21, 2023TCU@KSU3–41KSU
Dec 3, 2022KSUvsTCU31–28KSU
Oct 22, 2022KSU@TCU28–38TCU
Oct 30, 2021TCU@KSU12–31KSU
Oct 10, 2020KSU@TCU21–14KSU

Meetings from the last 8 seasons, from ESPN.

Community guide

Preseason scouting report

By Kyle Kommes · co-host of Play Me or Fade Me · from his 2026 College Football Guide, as of July 23, 2026

Kansas State Wildcats

  • New head coach in Collin Klein (Texas A&M Offensive Coordinator)
  • New offensive coordinator in Sean Gleeson (Missouri QB Coach) and new defensive coordinator in Jordan Peterson (Texas A&M Co-Defensive Coordinator)
  • Avery Johnson returns at QB after a 2025 season of 2,385 yards, 18 TDs, and 6 INTs, as well as 477 rushing yards and 8 rushing TDs
  • Joe Jackson returns at RB after a sophomore season of 911 yards and 8 TDs
All of Kyle's Kansas State notes →

TCU Horned Frogs

  • New offensive coordinator in Gordon Sammis (UConn Interim Head Coach & Former offensive coordinator - 2024)
  • Starting QB from last season is gone. Harvard transfer Jaden Craig (2,869 yards, 25 TDs, 7 INTs)
  • Jeremy Payne returns at RB after a sophomore season of 623 yards and 5 TDs
  • Top player in terms of receiving yards is gone, with the top returner being Jordan Dwyer (730 yards, 7 TDs)
All of Kyle's TCU notes →
Read the full 2026 CFB Guide →

The rest of the slate

Every other Power 5 game with a live market right now.

More college football odds

Frequently asked questions

What time does Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs start?+

Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs kicks off Saturday, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Start times are listed in Eastern; check your own zone if you are watching from elsewhere.

Who is favored in Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs?+

The TCU Horned Frogs are favored at -300 on the moneyline in prediction markets. Prices move as money comes in, and on BettorEdge you can set your own number on either side.

What is the spread for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs?+

No spread is posted for this game yet. College markets open later and move more than NFL markets, and we would rather show you nothing than a number we cannot confirm.

What are Kansas State and TCU's records in 2026?+

The Kansas State Wildcats are 4-4 and the TCU Horned Frogs are 4-4 this season. Kansas State is scoring 31.8 points a game and allowing 21.9; TCU is scoring 23.3 and allowing 14.1.

When did Kansas State and TCU last play?+

They last met on Saturday, Oct 11, 2025, when Kansas State Wildcats won 41-28 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Over the last 6 meetings in the past 8 seasons, Kansas State has won 5 and TCU 1.

What is the "community lean" on this game?+

It is the share of real money posted on each team on the BettorEdge peer-to-peer order book. Because every price is backed by another bettor, the open interest is a genuine read on what the community believes.

When do the lines lock?+

Markets lock at kickoff, Saturday, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET. Prices move as money comes in beforehand, so the community lean and the best number can shift right up until the game starts.

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