Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks odds, spread & prediction
Michigan Wolverines5-3
Oregon Ducks5-3Two 5-3 Big Ten programs meet at Autzen Stadium on Saturday, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET, with both teams trying to salvage a conference season that has gone sideways.
See the full college football board & lines →Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks prediction: who is favored
The market favors the Oregon Ducks at -335 on the moneyline, a 76% implied chance to win, and -5.5 on the spread.
BettorEdge community odds as of Nov 8. This is what bettors are pricing, not a pick, and it moves as money comes in.
At a glance
- Oregon is the favorite at home; the fair price in the markets is -335. Michigan's fair price is +317.
- Both teams are 5-3 in 2026, each riding a one-game winning streak into the matchup.
- Oregon beat Michigan 38-17 in the most recent meeting (Nov 2, 2024, at Michigan Stadium).
Lines at a glance
Where this game is priced right now. Every number is peer to peer, set by bettors rather than a sportsbook.
Spread
Michigan vs Oregon preview
The Market Signal
That gap leaves real room for value if you think the market is overcorrecting in either direction. BettorEdge lets you post your own number and wait for a taker, which is exactly the move when a price this steep looks wrong to you.
The Form
Oregon is averaging 33.3 points per game and allowing 21.4, the higher-octane side of this matchup. Michigan is averaging 21.3 points per game and allowing 16.4, playing the kind of low-margin football that produced five wins but also losses to Minnesota and Indiana, separated by a win over Penn State, mid-season. Oregon's own stumbles include a road loss at Oklahoma State and a home loss to UCLA. Both teams have found ways to lose games they probably should have won this fall.
The History
The one recent meeting on record shows Oregon winning 38-17 on November 2, 2024, at Michigan Stadium. That result is the only data point from the last eight seasons, so a trend is too thin to claim. What it does tell you is Oregon covered comfortably on the road against Michigan less than a year ago.
How the Game Sets Up
Oregon gets Autzen Stadium and a scoring offense that outpaces Michigan's by more than 12 points per game on paper. Michigan's defense, allowing just 16.4 per game, is the most credible argument for a closer result. This is a conference game where both teams still have something to play for, and a double-digit underdog price on Michigan could draw contrarian money.
How to play it
Oregon is the heavy market favorite at home, and the recent meeting backs that up. If you think Michigan's defense can keep this within a possession, BettorEdge is the place to set your own line at a number that actually reflects that view.
2026 season so far
Every result both teams have posted this season, with scoring averages.
- vs Western MichiganW 13-12
- vs OklahomaW 17-10
- vs UTEPW 52-17
- vs IowaL 19-20
- at MinnesotaL 14-20
- vs Penn StateW 21-18
- vs IndianaL 6-13
- at RutgersW 28-21
Went 9-4 in 2025. Current streak: W1. Home: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI.
- vs Boise StateW 34-27
- at Oklahoma StateL 31-39
- vs Portland StateW 84-0
- at USCW 41-27
- vs UCLAL 15-17
- vs NebraskaW 17-14
- at IllinoisL 10-21
- vs NorthwesternW 34-26
Went 13-2 in 2025. Current streak: W1. Home: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR.
Matchup history
Michigan Wolverines and Oregon Ducks last played on Saturday, Nov 2, 2024, when the Oregon Ducks won 38–17.
OREOregon Ducks@MICHMichigan Wolverines38–17OREMeetings from the last 8 seasons, from ESPN.
Preseason scouting report
Michigan Wolverines
- New head coach in Kyle Whittingham (Utah Head Coach)
- New offensive coordinator in Jason Beck (Utah Offensive Coordinator and QB Coach) and new defensive coordinator in Jay Hill (BYU Defensive Coordinator and Safeties Coach)
- Bryce Underwood returns at QB after a freshman season of 2,428 yards, 11 TDs, and 9 INTs, as well as 392 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs
- Jordan Marshall returns at RB after a freshman season of 932 yards and 10 TDs
Oregon Ducks
- New offensive coordinator in Drew Mehringer (Oregon Co-Offensive Coordinator and TE Coach) and defensive coordinator in Chris Hampton (Oregon Co-Defensive Coordinator and Safeties Coach)
- Dante Moore returns at QB after a sophomore season of 3,565 yards, 30 TDs, and 10 INTs
- Starting RB from last season is gone, so backup Jordon Davison is expected to start (667 yards, 15 TDs) with returner Dierre Hill Jr. expected to be in the rotation (656 yards, 5 TDs)
- Two out of the top three WRs from last season return in Jeremiah McClellan (557 yards, 3 TDs) and Dakorien Moore (497 yards, 3 TDs). UAB transfer WR Iverson Hooks is expected to start (927 yards, 7 TDs)
The rest of the slate
Every other Power 5 game with a live market right now.
More college football odds
Frequently asked questions
What time does Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks start?+
Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks kicks off Saturday, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, OR. Start times are listed in Eastern; check your own zone if you are watching from elsewhere.
Who is favored in Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks?+
The Oregon Ducks are favored at -335 on the moneyline in prediction markets and -5.5 on the spread. Prices move as money comes in, and on BettorEdge you can set your own number on either side.
What is the spread for Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks?+
The spread is Oregon Ducks -5.5, priced by the BettorEdge community rather than a house. Because the market is peer-to-peer you can also set your own number and wait for someone to take it.
What are Michigan and Oregon's records in 2026?+
The Michigan Wolverines are 5-3 and the Oregon Ducks are 5-3 this season. Michigan is scoring 21.3 points a game and allowing 16.4; Oregon is scoring 33.3 and allowing 21.4.
When did Michigan and Oregon last play?+
They last met on Saturday, Nov 2, 2024, when Oregon Ducks won 38-17 at Michigan Stadium.
What is the "community lean" on this game?+
It is the share of real money posted on each team on the BettorEdge peer-to-peer order book. Because every price is backed by another bettor, the open interest is a genuine read on what the community believes.
When do the lines lock?+
Markets lock at kickoff, Saturday, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET. Prices move as money comes in beforehand, so the community lean and the best number can shift right up until the game starts.
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