New York Giants Betting 2025: Worst Record Odds?

Greg Kajewski
3 days ago
4 min read

Updated: 2 days ago

The 2025 NFL season is shaping up to be an intriguing one for sports bettors, particularly when it comes to the New York Giants. Often considered a storied franchise, the Giants find themselves heading into the season with more questions than answers. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just looking for value plays, understanding the nuances of this team’s outlook is crucial to making informed decisions. Here, we’ll dive into the challenges, opportunities, and insights for betting on the Giants this season, based on expert analysis from Lefty of The Betting Network.

The Giants' 2025 Outlook: A Franchised Struggling to Rebuild

After yet another disappointing season in 2024, where the Giants posted a 3-14 record, expectations remain low. In fact, many analysts, including Lefty, have pegged the Giants as a strong candidate for the worst record in the NFL this season. But what factors are driving this gloomy forecast?

A Brutal Strength of Schedule

One of the primary reasons for the pessimism surrounding the Giants is their daunting schedule. According to projections, the Giants face the second-toughest schedule in the league, and when you add up their opponents’ projected win totals, they have the hardest overall path.

The season starts with back-to-back road games, a rarity in the NFL. This is followed by a gauntlet of powerhouse teams, including the AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs, the Los Angeles Chargers, and NFC East rivals like the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. By Week 12, the Giants will have faced only two teams projected to finish below league average: the Chicago Bears and the New Orleans Saints.

This brutal early slate not only puts their slim playoff hopes at risk but could also doom head coach Brian Daboll, who is already seen as a frontrunner for the first head coach to be fired in 2025.

Quarterback Stability: A Double-Edged Sword

Lefty highlights quarterback stability as one of the few areas of improvement for the Giants. They’ve overhauled their quarterback room, bringing in veteran Russell Wilson and rookie Jackson Dart. While Wilson offers a higher floor due to his experience and low-variance style of play, there’s debate over whether the Giants should let Dart sink or swim early in the season.

However, the tough schedule and a porous offensive line, which has been neglected for years, make this decision even more complicated. Any quarterback, rookie or veteran, is going to have a tough time producing behind this unit, making the Giants’ offense a major liability.

Defensive Bright Spots Amidst the Chaos

While the Giants’ offense remains a question mark, the defense does offer some reasons for optimism. The front seven, bolstered by third overall draft pick Abdul Carter, could be a formidable unit. Additionally, the secondary appears significantly improved, with young, athletic players like Paulson Adebo and second-year corner Drew Phillips expected to make an impact.

Despite these upgrades, the defense alone won’t be enough to carry the team. As Lefty notes, even a top-tier pass rush can’t mask the deficiencies across other areas of the roster.

Win Total Projections: Betting Unders on the Giants

Current sportsbooks list the Giants’ win total at 5.5, with Lefty projecting them to finish with just 4.5 wins - a full game below the listed total. This makes the under a compelling option for bettors, especially given the team’s brutal schedule and numerous roster weaknesses.

However, it’s worth noting that oddsmakers rarely set win totals lower than 5.5, as it invites heavy action on the over. This means bettors need to weigh the risk of marginal upside against the team’s glaring issues.

Key Takeaways for Bettors

For those considering bets on the Giants this season, here are the most important points to keep in mind:

Strength of Schedule: The Giants face the hardest schedule in the NFL based on opponent win totals. This is especially significant as they navigate their early-season gauntlet.
Quarterback Dilemma: The decision between starting Russell Wilson or rookie Jackson Dart will be pivotal but ultimately may not matter much behind their weak offensive line.
Win Total Opportunities: The Giants are projected to win 4.5 games, below the listed total of 5.5. The under offers value for those confident in the team’s struggles.
Defensive Upgrades: While the defense shows promise, it’s unlikely to overcome the team’s offensive shortcomings or tough schedule.
Coaching Turmoil: Head coach Brian Daboll is seen as a likely candidate to be fired early in the season, adding another layer of uncertainty.

Betting Tips and Insights

Given the team’s outlook, here are some actionable betting strategies for the 2025 season:

Bet the Under on Win Totals: With the Giants projected to win fewer games than their already-low total of 5.5, the under looks like a value play.
Consider Worst Record Odds: If sportsbooks offer odds on the Giants finishing with the league’s worst record, this could be a profitable wager given their tough schedule and roster deficiencies.
Game-by-Game Analysis: Focus on betting against the Giants in games against teams with strong pass rushes, as their offensive line is likely to be overwhelmed.
Watch the QB Situation: Keep an eye on how the Giants handle the Wilson/Dart situation. If Dart starts, early struggles could make the under even more appealing.
Fade the Giants Early: Given their brutal early schedule, betting against the Giants in Weeks 1-5 might yield strong returns.

Conclusion

The New York Giants are entering the 2025 NFL season with significant challenges, from a brutal schedule to a shaky offensive line and uncertain quarterback outlook. While there are some bright spots on defense, the team is widely projected to finish as one of the league’s worst. For sports bettors, the Giants present a unique opportunity to capitalize on their projected struggles, whether through betting win totals, individual games, or even worst record odds.

As always, it’s important to stay informed and adjust your betting strategy throughout the season. With their unpredictable quarterback situation and tough schedule, the Giants will undoubtedly be a team to watch - for better or worse.

Outlook and Source from Lefty of The Betting Network

Source: "2025 NFL Team Preview | New York Giants | Worst Record?" - Live Dog Lefty, YouTube, Aug 25, 2025 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qldut3GrvQA