UFC318 Poirier vs Holloway Betting Odds
- Greg Kajewski
- 3 hours ago
- 10 min read
UFC 318 is set for July 18, 2025, with Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway facing off in their trilogy fight. Poirier, leading the series 2-0, is a slight favorite at -150, while Holloway, the reigning BMF champion, is listed at +130. The event also features competitive undercard matchups, including Kopylov vs. Costa and Holland vs. Rodriguez. BettorEdge offers a state of the art betting platform for this highly anticipated event, allowing fans to place bets directly with others.
Key details:
- Main Event Odds: Poirier (-150) vs. Holloway (+130)
- Co-Main Event: Kopylov (-250) vs. Costa (+200)
- Platform: BettorEdge (no-vig, peer-to-peer betting)
- Event Date: July 18, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+ PPV
For detailed stats, betting strategies, and fighter breakdowns, the article covers everything you need to know to bet smartly on UFC 318.
UFC 318 Predictions Poirier vs Holloway 3 Full Card Betting Breakdown
UFC 318 Betting Odds Breakdown
The betting lines for UFC 318 give us a peek into how oddsmakers view each matchup. From the razor-thin odds in the main event to some clear favorites in other bouts, these numbers reveal expectations for the fighters and opportunities for bettors to find value.
Main Event Odds: Poirier vs. Holloway
The main event between Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway features one of the most closely contested betting lines in a championship fight. Poirier is slightly favored at -150, while Holloway comes in as the underdog at +130. This narrow margin reflects how competitive their rivalry has become and shows how perceptions have shifted since their last meeting, with Poirier gaining more credibility in the matchup.
For bettors, the tight odds might make a standard moneyline bet less appealing. Instead, options like round totals, method-of-victory bets, or live betting could provide better opportunities to capitalize on the fight's unpredictable nature.
Other Key Fight Odds
The rest of the UFC 318 card offers a mix of heavy favorites and more evenly matched contests across various weight classes:
- Co-Main Event: Roman Kopylov is a strong favorite at -250, while Paulo Costa is listed as the underdog at +200.
- Welterweight Bout: Kevin Holland dominates the odds as a -450 favorite, with Daniel Rodriguez trailing at +350.
- Featherweight Clash: Dan Ige is favored at -210 against Patricio Pitbull, who stands at +175.
- Lightweight Matchup: Daniel Zellhuber is a heavy favorite at -550, while veteran Michael Johnson is a +400 underdog.
- Middleweight Showdown: Brendan Allen comes in at -205, with Marvin Vettori listed at +170.
Fight | Favorite | Odds | Underdog | Odds |
Kopylov vs. Costa | Roman Kopylov | -250 | Paulo Costa | +200 |
Holland vs. Rodriguez | Kevin Holland | -450 | Daniel Rodriguez | +350 |
Ige vs. Pitbull | Dan Ige | -210 | Patricio Pitbull | +175 |
Zellhuber vs. Johnson | Daniel Zellhuber | -550 | Michael Johnson | +400 |
Allen vs. Vettori | Brendan Allen | -205 | Marvin Vettori | +170 |
These odds set the stage for a night of intriguing matchups, with some fights primed for upsets and others showcasing fighters expected to dominate.
What the Odds Reveal About the Fighters
The betting lines offer valuable insights into how each fighter is perceived. Heavy favorites like Kevin Holland and Daniel Zellhuber suggest oddsmakers are banking on dominant performances. On the other hand, closer matchups like Dan Ige vs. Patricio Pitbull and Brendan Allen vs. Marvin Vettori hint at more competitive fights, where bets on specific outcomes - such as round finishes - could hold additional value.
The middleweight division, in particular, stands out with matchups like Costa vs. Kopylov and Allen vs. Vettori. These fights feature established contenders and could have ranking implications, making them unpredictable and exciting for bettors. BettorEdge’s no-vig peer-to-peer marketplace adds another layer of opportunity, allowing users to find better value by avoiding traditional sportsbook fees.
For those looking to build parlays, the varied odds across weight classes create plenty of options. Combining heavy favorites with competitive underdogs could yield strong returns, though the tightly contested main event may be better suited for focused, single-fight bets.
Fighter Breakdown: Poirier vs. Holloway
Let’s dive into the strengths and stats that define Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway, two of the most exciting fighters in the game.
Fighter Stats Comparison
This head-to-head comparison highlights their unique styles and offers insight into potential betting angles.
Fighter | Record | Height | Reach | Strikes/Min | Striking Accuracy | Strikes Absorbed/Min | Defense % | Takedown Avg | Sub Avg |
Max Holloway | 26-8-0 | 5'11" | 69" | 7.16 | 47% | 4.76 | 59% | 0.25 | 0.3 |
Dustin Poirier | 30-9-0 (1 NC) | 5'9" | 72" | 5.30 | 50% | 4.33 | 52% | 1.24 | 1.3 |
Holloway’s striking volume is unmatched, landing a staggering 7.16 significant strikes per minute. On the other hand, Poirier’s approach is more calculated, with higher accuracy and a clear edge in grappling stats - his takedown average (1.24) and submission average (1.3) dwarf Holloway’s numbers. However, Holloway’s takedown defense (83% compared to Poirier’s 64%) could neutralize Poirier’s attempts to control the fight on the ground.
Fighting Styles: Striking vs. Grappling
The stats set up a classic clash of styles. Holloway thrives on relentless pressure and striking diversity, keeping opponents guessing with combinations of punches, kicks, and elbows. As striking coach Sean Madden points out:
"Max, his output is phenomenal, his pace, his pressure; he's notorious for this and it's something that can help him on his path to victory in this fight. I also think his diversity of strikes is something he can lean into in this fight, as well."
Holloway’s ability to overwhelm opponents with volume often leads to longer fights, making decision outcomes a strong possibility.
In contrast, Poirier’s game revolves around his elite boxing and defensive skills. Madden highlights the unique aspects of Poirier’s style:
"For Dustin, he has some of the best boxing for MMA and some of the best boxing defense; a really unique style of defense using his elbows and shoulders to block, which I really, really like a lot for MMA...Any time you think about 'heart,' Dustin's name needs to come out of your mouth first."
Poirier’s power and precision give him an edge in close-range exchanges. As Madden adds:
"If it's punch-for-punch, we favor Dustin - not only the power, but the defense in the pocket, his shot selection; that for sure goes to Dustin."
This makes knockout bets particularly intriguing if Poirier can draw Holloway into his preferred range.
Fight Outcome Factors
The outcome of this fight will hinge on how each fighter imposes their style. Poirier’s strategy will likely focus on forcing exchanges and using his boxing to control the fight:
"Dustin has to force Max to exchange with him, and I do think he has the upper hand there in those exchanges. Rely on the boxing, bait Max in to throwing with you, push him back close to the fence."
Meanwhile, Holloway’s conditioning and pace could play a pivotal role. His average fight time of 16:05 reflects his ability to thrive in extended battles, contrasting with Poirier’s 10:17, which highlights his knack for quicker finishes. Additionally, Poirier’s southpaw stance versus Holloway’s orthodox approach could create interesting dynamics in the early rounds.
With both fighters bringing extensive experience and distinct skills to the octagon, this matchup offers plenty of intrigue. For bettors on BettorEdge’s peer-to-peer platform, the contrasting styles and stats open up opportunities in prop bets, especially when considering round totals and methods of victory.
How to Bet UFC 318 on BettorEdge
UFC 318 promises thrilling matchups, and BettorEdge provides a simple and effective way to get in on the action. Here’s how you can place your bets for UFC 318 on BettorEdge.
Why Choose BettorEdge?
BettorEdge stands out with its no-vig, peer-to-peer betting system, which means you’re betting directly with other users instead of a traditional sportsbook. This setup eliminates the house edge, giving you a better chance to profit. Free users can wager up to $100 monthly without fees, while Premium subscribers enjoy up to $750 in no-fee bets each month. After that, only a minimal 1.5% fee applies.
The platform is legal in over 45 states, making it widely accessible for U.S. bettors. Plus, BettorEdge’s social betting feature automatically shares every bet in the community feed. This lets you see what others are betting on, follow top-performing users, and learn from community trends.
Here’s a stat that might catch your eye: over 40% of BettorEdge users turn a profit, compared to just 2% on traditional sportsbooks. The no-vig model, combined with advanced analytics, helps you track your betting performance across leagues, bet types, and time frames. For UFC 318, you’ll gain access to community insights, trending bets, and the option to set your own odds in the marketplace.
Ready to dive in? Follow this quick guide to start betting on UFC 318.
Step-by-Step Betting Guide
1. Setting Up Your AccountHead to play.bettoredge.com to create your account. The platform’s AI-driven verification process gets you up and running in no time. Fund your account using Instant Bank Transfer via Plaid, ACH, credit cards, debit cards, or PayPal, with instant deposits available for all users.
2. Exploring UFC 318 MarketsNavigate to the UFC section and locate UFC 318. You’ll find the main event between Poirier and Holloway, along with undercard fights, current odds, and available betting markets.
3. Placing a BetSelect your fighter, enter your stake, and set your odds. The platform matches your bet with another user taking the opposite side. You can either accept existing odds or create your own and wait for a match.
4. Confirming Your BetOnce your bet is matched, it’s confirmed and shared on the social feed. You can track your active bets and monitor the community’s reactions to your picks.
These steps make it easy to dive into UFC 318 betting with confidence.
Using Community Insights to Sharpen Your Bets
Just like analyzing fight stats helps predict outcomes, BettorEdge’s real-time community data can refine your betting strategy for UFC 318.
Follow Top BettorsLeaderboards showcase users ranked by ROI, win percentage, and streaks over the past 7 and 30 days. You can follow these top performers and even view their betting picks.
Copy or Fade BetsYou can copy bets from trusted users or fade their picks if you think they’re off the mark. This turns betting into a collaborative - and sometimes competitive - learning experience.
Track Market SentimentKeep an eye on how odds shift based on community activity. These movements might reveal emerging trends or hidden insights.
Premium Analytics for an EdgePremium subscribers unlock advanced tools like external market comparisons, BetMatch filtering, and historical betting data. These features help you spot value opportunities for UFC 318.
UFC 318 Betting Tips and Methods
Main Event Betting Options
The Poirier vs. Holloway trilogy offers a thrilling matchup with odds that are razor-thin. At the moment, Holloway is a slight favorite at -118, while Poirier sits close behind at -108. With such tight odds, precision is key. Poirier's 2-0 lead in their series gives him a psychological and historical edge, and fighting in his home state of Louisiana could provide an extra boost. On the other hand, Holloway's relentless pace and high-volume striking make him a dangerous opponent. Poirier’s ability to finish fights - whether through knockouts or submissions - adds even more intrigue. These elements open the door to a variety of betting strategies, especially when it comes to prop bets.
Prop Bet Opportunities
If you’re looking for more specific wagers, method-of-victory props could be worth exploring. Poirier’s submission game, including his signature jumping guillotine, offers a compelling angle. Alternatively, you might consider betting on whether the fight will go the distance. With both fighters known for their knockout power and the added stakes of the BMF title, it’s possible we’ll see more aggressive attempts to secure a finish.
Using Betting Trends and Data
To make informed bets, it’s crucial to go beyond just win-loss records. Dive into fighter stats from sources like UFCStats.com, which provide key metrics such as significant strikes per minute, takedown success rates, and defensive percentages. Public betting trends can also offer valuable insights. For instance, data from BettorEdge reveals that favorites have won 72% of UFC fights in 2024. Keep an eye on live betting markets and factor in recent competition, physical attributes, and any injury updates to refine your predictions. This kind of detailed analysis can give you a sharper edge than relying solely on basic records.
UFC 318 Betting Summary
UFC 318 brings an exciting main event as Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier face off to complete their trilogy on July 18 at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The odds are razor-close, with Holloway slightly favored at -125 to -130 and Poirier priced at +102 to +112.
Poirier holds a 2-0 record against Holloway, having submitted him back in 2012 and later securing a unanimous decision victory for the interim title in 2019. Adding to the drama, Poirier will be fighting on home turf in Louisiana. Meanwhile, Holloway, the reigning BMF champion, comes into this bout riding high after his viral knockout of Justin Gaethje.
Statistically, Holloway averages an impressive 7.16 significant strikes per minute compared to Poirier's 5.30. However, Poirier edges Holloway slightly in accuracy, landing 50% of his strikes versus Holloway's 47%. These numbers highlight intriguing angles for prop bets in this matchup.
BettorEdge's peer-to-peer betting model eliminates traditional sportsbook margins, offering bettors real-time community data to identify potential value. This unique approach can be particularly useful when exploring wagering opportunities for this fight.
Key strategies include focusing on the over 4.5 rounds wager, currently set at -160, and diving into prop bets centered on methods of victory. Poirier's submission skills and the knockout power both fighters bring to the table make these props worth considering.
As fight night approaches, keep a close eye on the odds. Late betting action could shift the lines, creating new opportunities. BettorEdge's real-time marketplace allows you to adjust your bets quickly and efficiently as fresh information becomes available.
FAQs
Why is BettorEdge's no-vig betting platform a great choice for UFC 318 bets?
BettorEdge's no-vig betting platform levels the playing field for UFC 318 bettors by cutting out the traditional bookmaker's margin. What does this mean for you? Access to true odds, which translates to more accurate payouts and a fairer betting experience.
For marquee matchups like Poirier vs. Holloway, BettorEdge helps you get the most out of your wagers by offering the best odds available. It's a smarter and more straightforward way to bet on one of the year's most thrilling fight cards.
How do Poirier and Holloway’s fighting styles impact betting strategies for their UFC 318 trilogy fight?
The fighting styles of Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway offer plenty to think about when shaping betting strategies for their much-anticipated trilogy fight. Poirier’s approach leans on powerful striking and his southpaw stance, making him a strong pick for those eyeing a knockout or an early finish. Meanwhile, Holloway’s relentless pace, high-volume striking, and unmatched cardio suggest he could shine in a longer fight, making bets on a decision win or later rounds an intriguing option.
When weighing your bets, think about Poirier’s ability to deliver crushing power shots early in the fight versus Holloway’s skill in overwhelming opponents with consistent pressure and endurance. These stylistic contrasts can provide key insights into how the fight might unfold, helping you refine your betting strategy for this electrifying matchup.
What are some interesting prop bets for the Dustin Poirier vs. Max Holloway fight at UFC 318?
For the much-anticipated trilogy bout between Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway at UFC 318, fans have some intriguing prop bets to explore. One standout option is betting on whether the fight will last over or under 4.5 rounds, with odds leaning toward it going over. Another interesting wager revolves around the method of victory - for example, Poirier winning via KO/TKO or Holloway clinching the win by decision.
These types of bets not only add a thrilling twist to the viewing experience but also make this historic showdown even more engaging.
