Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears odds, spread & prediction
Texas Tech Red Raiders8-1
Baylor Bears6-3Texas Tech rolls into Waco at 8-1, but Baylor has quietly won two straight and holds the better defensive average. The fair prices in the markets are tight, and BettorEdge lets you set your own number before anyone else does.
See the full college football board & lines →Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears prediction: who is favored
The market favors the Texas Tech Red Raiders at -138 on the moneyline, a 53% implied chance to win.
BettorEdge community odds as of Nov 9. This is what bettors are pricing, not a pick, and it moves as money comes in.
At a glance
- Baylor is the slight home favorite, with the fair price in the markets at -108. Texas Tech's fair price is -138.
- Texas Tech is 8-1 and averaging 37.6 points per game. Baylor is 6-3, allowing just 17.0 points per game.
- In the last 6 meetings, Baylor leads 4-2, including a 59-35 win in 2024. This game returns to McLane Stadium, where Baylor is 2-1 in that recent stretch.
Lines at a glance
Where this game is priced right now. Every number is peer to peer, set by bettors rather than a sportsbook.
No spread is shown for this game. The market has not settled on one number yet, and a spread we cannot confirm against the moneyline is worse than none at all.
Texas Tech vs Baylor preview
The Market and Community Signal
That is a narrow line for a home team giving up two wins in the standings. BettorEdge is where you post the number you believe in and trade against someone who disagrees, with no vig eating your edge. Get your line up early on a game this close.
Form and Scoring
Texas Tech has won eight of nine, with its only loss a 24-37 road defeat at Cincinnati. The Red Raiders are averaging 37.6 points per game and allowing 24.1. Baylor sits at 6-3 but has won two straight, including a 42-31 home win over Iowa State. The Bears are allowing just 17.0 points per game, the stingier defense by a clear margin. Both teams beat Colorado and Arizona State, with Texas Tech winning by a wider margin against Colorado and Baylor winning by a wider margin against Arizona State.
Recent Meetings at McLane Stadium
Over the last 8 seasons, Baylor leads this series 4-2, though Texas Tech took a 39-14 blowout at this exact venue in 2023. Baylor answered with a 59-35 win in 2024, so the last meeting favors the home side heavily.
How the Game Sets Up
Texas Tech's offense is the best reason to question the home-team price, but Baylor's defense has been the stingiest in this matchup's recent history when it has shown up. The gap between 37.6 points per game and 17.0 points allowed tells you this is the central tension of the game.
How to play it
Baylor's defensive numbers are real, and home-field has historically mattered in this series, but Texas Tech's offense is operating at a different level than most opponents the Bears have faced. The fair price in the markets at -108 on Baylor reflects genuine uncertainty. If you lean Texas Tech at -138 or think Baylor deserves a bigger number, BettorEdge lets you post it and find a taker, no vig required.
2026 season so far
Every result both teams have posted this season, with scoring averages.
- vs Abilene ChristianW 33-10
- at Oregon StateW 35-24
- vs HoustonW 28-26
- vs Sam HoustonW 49-14
- at ColoradoW 29-7
- vs Arizona StateW 53-25
- at CincinnatiL 24-37
- vs ArizonaW 34-26
- vs West VirginiaW 53-48
Went 12-2 in 2025. Current streak: W2.
- vs AuburnL 16-17
- vs Prairie View A&MW 44-3
- vs Louisiana TechW 36-19
- vs ColoradoW 23-13
- at Arizona StateW 55-19
- vs TCUL 6-17
- at KansasL 24-25
- at UCFW 41-9
- vs Iowa StateW 42-31
Went 5-7 in 2025. Current streak: W2.
Common opponents
Teams both sides have already played this season.
- ColoradoTexas Tech: W 29-7Baylor: W 23-13
- Arizona StateTexas Tech: W 53-25Baylor: W 55-19
Matchup history
Texas Tech Red Raiders and Baylor Bears last played on Saturday, Oct 19, 2024, when the Baylor Bears won 59–35. Over the last 6 meetings: Baylor Bears 4, Texas Tech Red Raiders 2.
BAYBaylor Bears@TTUTexas Tech Red Raiders59–35BAYTTUTexas Tech Red Raiders@BAYBaylor Bears39–14TTUBAYBaylor Bears@TTUTexas Tech Red Raiders45–17BAYTTUTexas Tech Red Raiders@BAYBaylor Bears24–27BAYBAYBaylor Bears@TTUTexas Tech Red Raiders23–24TTUTTUTexas Tech Red Raiders@BAYBaylor Bears30–33BAYMeetings from the last 8 seasons, from ESPN.
Preseason scouting report
Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Starting QB from last season is gone, so backup QB WIll Hammond is expected to start (680 yards, 7 TDs, 3 INTs; 299 rushing yards, 5 rushing TDs)
- RB tandem of Cameron Dickey (1,124 yards, 14 TDs) and J’Koby Williams (868 yards, 6 TDs) returns
- Top two players in terms of receiving yards are gone, with the top returner being Coy Eakin (637 yards, 6 TDs). Pittsburgh transfer WR Kenny Johnson is expected to start (695 yards, 5 TDs)
- Returning three starting offensive lineman that allowed 27 sacks in 2025 (T-87th in CFB)
Baylor Bears
- New defensive coordinator in Joe Klanderman (Kansas State defensive coordinator and safeties coach)
- Only one offensive starter returns (Offensive Lineman)
- Florida transfer QB DJ Lagway is expected to start (2,264 yards, 16 TDs, 14 INTs)
- Returner Dawson Pendergrass is expected to start at RB (DNP in 2025 with injury; 671 yards, 6 TDs in 2024)
The rest of the slate
Every other Power 5 game with a live market right now.
More college football odds
Frequently asked questions
What time does Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears start?+
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor Bears kicks off Saturday, Nov 21, 1:00 PM ET at McLane Stadium. Start times are listed in Eastern; check your own zone if you are watching from elsewhere.
Who is favored in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears?+
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are favored at -138 on the moneyline in prediction markets. Prices move as money comes in, and on BettorEdge you can set your own number on either side.
What is the spread for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears?+
No spread is posted for this game yet. College markets open later and move more than NFL markets, and we would rather show you nothing than a number we cannot confirm.
What are Texas Tech and Baylor's records in 2026?+
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 8-1 and the Baylor Bears are 6-3 this season. Texas Tech is scoring 37.6 points a game and allowing 24.1; Baylor is scoring 31.9 and allowing 17.
When did Texas Tech and Baylor last play?+
They last met on Saturday, Oct 19, 2024, when Baylor Bears won 59-35 at Galaxy Stadium. Over the last 6 meetings in the past 8 seasons, Texas Tech has won 2 and Baylor 4.
What is the "community lean" on this game?+
It is the share of real money posted on each team on the BettorEdge peer-to-peer order book. Because every price is backed by another bettor, the open interest is a genuine read on what the community believes.
When do the lines lock?+
Markets lock at kickoff, Saturday, Nov 21, 1:00 PM ET. Prices move as money comes in beforehand, so the community lean and the best number can shift right up until the game starts.
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