Jackson Koivun takes a three-shot lead into the final round of the 2026 3M Open, sitting at 20 under after a tournament-record 61 on Saturday at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. The final round tees off Sunday, July 26, with coverage on Golf Channel and CBS. Emiliano Grillo and Ben Kohles share second at 17 under, and world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is six back at 14 under after his own Saturday charge. Here is who wins the 3M Open, where the community odds sit, and the sharpest way to back a play at Minnesota's only PGA Tour stop.
For a company built in Minnesota, this is the one week a year the Tour comes home. TPC Twin Cities is 15 miles up the road from downtown, and on Sunday it hands out a trophy with a 21-year-old rookie in front and the best player in the world stalking him from six back. The story writes itself. The question is how to bet it.
What to watch Sunday at the 3M Open
Three questions decide the tournament. Can Jackson Koivun back up the best round of his young pro career and close from the front. Can anyone in the chase pack catch him. And can Scottie Scheffler, six back and making his 3M Open debut, go low one more time and turn a runaway into a finish. A calm, hot forecast points at another deep number, which is the one thing standing between Koivun and a comfortable afternoon.
| Player | Position after 54 holes | The angle for Sunday |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Koivun | 1st, 20 under | Three-shot lead after a record 61; 21-year-old former world No. 1 amateur in his first Tour lead |
| Emiliano Grillo | T2, 17 under | Closest chaser, a proven Tour winner with the experience to pounce if the lead wobbles |
| Ben Kohles | T2, 17 under | The other man three back, one of the most accurate drivers in the field this week |
| Michael Brennan | T4, 16 under | Four back after a Saturday 63, with the distance profile this course rewards |
| Scottie Scheffler | T9, 14 under | World No. 1, six back after a 64, needs a low one and help from the front |
Event: 2026 3M Open, PGA Tour, final round
Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
Venue: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, Minnesota (par 71, 7,431 yards)
Watch: Golf Channel 1 to 3 p.m. ET, then CBS 3 to 6 p.m. ET (12 to 5 p.m. CT, 10 a.m. to 3 p.m. PT)
Stream: PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ from 8 a.m. ET, with the CBS window simulcast on Paramount+
The story: Jackson Koivun and a record Saturday
Koivun did not just take the lead, he detonated the golf course. His third-round 61 was a 10-under number and the low round of the week, built on a back nine of 28 that set a tournament record. He made two eagles and closed birdie, birdie, eagle, with the eagles landing on the par-5 12th and the par-5 18th. He started Saturday inside a crowded pack and finished it three clear of the field.
The résumé behind the round is the reason to take it seriously. Koivun is 21, spent time as the top-ranked amateur in the world, and won at Auburn on the way to becoming the first player to sweep the Haskins, Hogan and Nicklaus player-of-the-year awards twice. He turned pro after the U.S. Open this summer, and this is only his third start as a full PGA Tour member. What he has never done is sleep on a 54-hole Tour lead. That is the one real unknown, and it is exactly what the community price is built around.
The chase: can Scheffler go low one more time
Scheffler is six back, which is a lot, and he is also Scottie Scheffler, which is why he is still on the board. He answered a slow start to the week with a 7-under 64 on Saturday, turning a back nine of 29 to climb into a share of ninth. This is his first competitive look at TPC Twin Cities, and he has spent the week learning a course the rest of the field knows cold.
Be honest about the math. Six shots back with 18 holes to play is a genuine long shot even for the world No. 1, because he does not just need his own low number, he needs Koivun to come back to him. Scheffler is the best closer in the game when he is near the lead. From six behind on a course where the leader can also shoot 65, the ceiling is real but the path is narrow. You can read more on his season on the Scottie Scheffler player page.
3M Open final round odds: the community board
Here is a BettorEdge community snapshot of the outright winner market for Sunday at the 3M Open, priced by the marketplace rather than a house. Final-round outright prices move fast once the leaders make the turn, so treat these as a starting point and check the live board before you back anything.
| Player | Community odds (to win) | Implied win chance |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Koivun | -122 | 55.0% |
| Emiliano Grillo | +942 | 9.6% |
| Scottie Scheffler | +1438 | 6.5% |
| Michael Brennan | +1787 | 5.3% |
| Chandler Phillips | +3233 | 3.0% |
| Michael Kim | +4662 | 2.1% |
| Denny McCarthy | +5456 | 1.8% |
| Billy Horschel | +5456 | 1.8% |
| Seamus Power | +16567 | 0.6% |
Start with Koivun at -122, which prices him at about 55 percent to close it out. That is the whole tournament in one number. A three-shot 54-hole lead on the PGA Tour has historically converted to a win well more than half the time, and Koivun has the ball-striking under control. The 55 percent price shades that base rate down for two reasons the market is right to weigh: he has never led a Tour event on Sunday, and this course lets the chasers shoot the low numbers they need to apply pressure. That is a fair line, not a soft one.
Ben Kohles shares second at 17 under but does not yet have a live community outright price, and the same is true of a couple of the players tied for ninth. When their numbers post they will slot into the same range as Grillo and Brennan. Emiliano Grillo at +942 is the shortest of the chasers at about 10 percent, which fits: he is the closest man to the lead with a Tour title on his record and the temperament to handle a Sunday. Everything from Brennan down is a bet that the leader comes back to the field, and the prices reflect exactly how much room there is between them and Koivun.
Who to back on Sunday
Three plays at three price tiers, then the single pick.
- Front-runner: Jackson Koivun -122. A three-shot lead, the low round of the tournament, and a swing that held up under pressure all afternoon. At roughly 55 percent, the price gives you a small discount for his inexperience, and a three-shot lead is worth more than a coin flip.
- Value chase: Emiliano Grillo +942. If you want to bet against the rookie, this is the number to do it at. Grillo is the closest chaser, he has won on Tour, and three back on a scoreable Sunday is catchable if Koivun gets tight.
- Ceiling dart: Scottie Scheffler +1438. Six back is a lot, but this is the one name in the field who can post a 62 and make everyone else nervous. A small-stakes swing at the best player in the world going low.
The headline pick is Jackson Koivun at -122. The market is nudging his price below where a three-shot 54-hole lead usually lives because he is 21 and has never done this. That nervousness is the value. He controlled the golf course on Saturday, he has the biggest cushion anyone has held into a 3M Open Sunday in years, and the number asks you to lay a fair price on the most likely outcome. If you would rather take a stand against him, Grillo at +942 is the sharpest way to do it.
Bet the 3M Open on BettorEdge
Back Koivun to close it out, or fade him, against another real bettor at a community price instead of a house number. Get your action on BettorEdge and grab up to $100 when you verify your ID, no deposit needed.
Course and conditions: another low number is coming
TPC Twin Cities is an Arnold Palmer design that opened in 2000, a par 71 at 7,431 yards on flat, open ground with bentgrass greens that hold approach shots. It gives up birdies in bunches, which is how Koivun shot 61 and how three players sit within four of the lead. The defense is water, in play on 15 of the 18 holes and guarding five greens, so one loose swing can undo an afternoon.
Sunday sets up hot and calm, with a high near 93 and light wind, close to ideal scoring weather. That matters for how you read the lead. On a windy, firm day a three-shot cushion is close to safe, because the field cannot make up ground in a hurry. On a soft, still day like this one, the chasers can post a low number and turn the screws, which is the exact reason Koivun sits at 55 percent rather than 70. The forecast is the chase pack's best friend.
The matchup angle: top-5 and the head-to-head
On a final round, the finishing-position markets are often the sharper play than the outright, because a top-5 or top-10 asks a question you can actually answer instead of needing your man to win outright. Koivun three clear is a strong top-5 anchor even if the win does not come. Grillo, Kohles and Brennan are the names that make the most sense in a top-5 or top-10 look, since all three are close enough that avoiding a single blow-up hole likely keeps them there.
The most fun Sunday market is the head-to-head. A Koivun versus Scheffler two-ball, or a "top Sunday score" bet between them, turns the whole leaderboard into one clean question: does the kid with the lead outplay the world No. 1 chasing from behind. If you are new to these, our guides on golf matchup bets and top-5 and top-10 finishes walk through how the numbers work, and the outright betting guide covers backing a winner.
Tools to check before you back a pick
Know the real math before you lock anything in. Turn any final-round price into a true win probability with the implied probability calculator, strip the built-in margin out of a board with the no-vig calculator, and size your payout with the betting calculator. You can follow Sunday's prices and other golf markets on the BettorEdge golf hub.
3M Open final round FAQ
Who leads the 2026 3M Open going into the final round?
Jackson Koivun leads at 20 under par, three shots clear of the field after a tournament-record 61 in the third round at TPC Twin Cities. Emiliano Grillo and Ben Kohles share second at 17 under.
When is the 3M Open final round and how can I watch?
The final round is Sunday, July 26, 2026. Golf Channel carries coverage from 1 to 3 p.m. ET, then CBS takes over from 3 to 6 p.m. ET. PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ streams early coverage from 8 a.m. ET, and Paramount+ simulcasts the CBS window.
Where is Scottie Scheffler on the 3M Open leaderboard?
Scottie Scheffler is six shots back at 14 under, in a tie for ninth after a 7-under 64 on Saturday. He is making his 3M Open debut and would need a very low final round plus a stumble from the leaders to win.
Who is Jackson Koivun?
Jackson Koivun is a 21-year-old American who was the top-ranked amateur in the world and starred at Auburn before turning pro after the 2026 U.S. Open. The 3M Open is one of his first starts as a full PGA Tour member, and Sunday is his first time leading a Tour event after 54 holes.
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 3M Open?
Jackson Koivun is the favorite at around -122 in BettorEdge community odds, which implies about a 55 percent chance to win with his three-shot lead. Emiliano Grillo is the next shortest chaser near +942, with Scottie Scheffler around +1438.
What kind of golf course is TPC Twin Cities?
It is an Arnold Palmer design that opened in 2000, playing as a par 71 at 7,431 yards on flat, open ground with bentgrass greens. Water is in play on 15 holes and guards five greens, so it scores very low but punishes wayward driving harder than most birdie-fest venues.
How do I bet on the 3M Open final round?
Pick your outright, top-5, or head-to-head bet and place it on BettorEdge against another real bettor at a community price. New users can get up to $100 after verifying their ID, no deposit needed.
Is betting on BettorEdge legal?
Yes. BettorEdge is a peer-to-peer betting marketplace, legal across 45+ states, with identity verification built in. You are matched against other people, not a house that profits when you lose.
The bottom line
Minnesota's Tour stop closes with the best kind of Sunday: a 21-year-old with a three-shot lead and a record round behind him, a veteran chase pack three back, and the world No. 1 lurking with nothing to lose. The forecast says the number keeps going low, which is why this is a lead worth respecting but not a coronation. Jackson Koivun at -122 is the most likely outcome at a fair price, and Emiliano Grillo at +942 is the sharpest way to bet against him.
Compare prices before the final round tees off
Outright and top-5 boards move the second the leaders make the turn. Compare prices on BettorEdge, back your 3M Open pick peer to peer, and grab up to $100 when you verify your ID. Better odds. You keep more.
Read the line, then beat it.
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