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Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Preview, Odds, and Prediction

By · Co-Founder & CEO·July 28, 2026 · 15 min read

Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm tips off Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET from Climate Pledge Arena, with the Fever a heavy road favorite in the BettorEdge community market and Caitlin Clark listed as probable. This is the first game back from the All-Star break for both sides and the opener of a three-game Indiana road trip. It is also the third meeting of the season between these two, and the last one was the game of the year: Clark dropped a career-high 45 points and Seattle still had a shot at the buzzer. Below you get tip-off and how to watch, form and injuries on both sides, the head-to-head, the community odds with the real numbers, and the case on each side of the board.

Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm July 28 2026 preview with BettorEdge community odds

Quick comparison

Indiana FeverSeattle Storm
Record17-10 (1st, Eastern Conference)6-23 (8th, Western Conference)
Last 107-32-8
Last gameWon 123-88 vs ConnecticutLost 86-76 to Minnesota
Leading scorerKelsey Mitchell, 23.3 ppgDominique Malonga, 16.3 ppg
Also watchCaitlin Clark, 21.0 ppg and 7.9 apgNatisha Hiedeman, 15.6 ppg
Injury watchDamiris Dantas out (knee), Clark probable (back)Ezi Magbegor out (facial fracture), Dominique Malonga questionable (back)
Community moneyline-390+330

Match: Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm, WNBA regular season
Tip-off: Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 9:30 PM ET (8:30 PM CT, 7:30 PM MT, 6:30 PM PT)
Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Watch: ESPN nationally, with streaming on Fubo and the ESPN app.

Match overview: date, time, and how to watch

Both teams are coming off the All-Star break, which was held Saturday, July 25 at the United Center in Chicago in front of a record crowd of 19,783. Caitlin Clark's Team Spoon held off Angel Reese's Team Coop 129-122, with Clark finishing with 17 points, four rebounds, and five assists in about 21 minutes. Tuesday is the return to real basketball, and for Indiana it starts a three-game trip that runs through Portland on July 31 and Minnesota on August 2.

The Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm game starts Tuesday, July 28 at 9:30 PM ET (8:30 PM CT, 7:30 PM MT, 6:30 PM PT) from Climate Pledge Arena. It is a national broadcast on ESPN, and you can stream it on Fubo or through the ESPN app with a TV provider login. The late window is a function of the Pacific time zone, so East Coast viewers are in for a long night.

Indiana's form: the best offense in the league, plus a minutes plan

The Fever are 17-10, first in the Eastern Conference, and they have won seven of their last ten. More to the point, they are scoring 95.5 points per game, the most in the WNBA, on 47.9 percent shooting from the floor and 38.1 percent from three. That last number is second in the league. When this team is healthy and taking good looks, there is no defense in the league that holds it under 90 comfortably.

Kelsey Mitchell is the leading scorer at 23.3 points per game and she has been the steadiest offensive presence all season. Aliyah Boston is the anchor at 17.3 points and 8.5 rebounds, and she is the reason Indiana can win a game on the interior when the threes go cold. Caitlin Clark sits at 21.0 points, 7.9 assists, and 3.8 rebounds while shooting 43.5 percent from the field, 34.5 percent from three, and 86.4 percent at the line.

The important context on Clark is availability rather than production. She has been managing a back issue for much of the summer and Indiana has kept her on a minutes plan, with the club listing her as probable for Tuesday. Her recent workload tells the story better than any quote.

Caitlin Clark's last four games

DateOpponentResultMinPtsAst3PM
Jul 22ConnecticutW 123-882727115
Jul 18New YorkW 108-88261772
Jul 17SeattleW 110-1072945106
Jul 15Golden StateL 75-88261361

Four straight games in the 26 to 29 minute range, including the 45-point night. Indiana is getting star production out of a restricted workload, which is a good sign for the playoff push and a real consideration for anyone betting a Clark scoring prop. She is not playing 34 minutes in a blowout to pad a number.

Seattle's season: a rebuild in the middle of it

The Storm are 6-23 and last in the Western Conference, and the roster explains most of it. Seattle let Nneka Ogwumike, Skylar Diggins, and Gabby Williams go rather than run the veteran core back, hired Sonia Raman as head coach after Noelle Quinn's contract was not renewed, and brought in Natisha Hiedeman from Minnesota and Stefanie Dolson from Washington to fill the gaps. This is year one of a reset, and the standings show it.

The bright spots are genuine, though. Dominique Malonga leads the team at 16.3 points and 8.5 rebounds and had 28 points and 14 rebounds against Indiana on July 17. Rookie Flau'jae Johnson is averaging 13.7 points and 5.3 rebounds and has been the story of Seattle's season, including the 28-point career night that snapped an 11-game losing streak back in June. Natisha Hiedeman adds 15.6 points and a team-high 4.6 assists.

The injury report is the thing to watch here. Seattle is without Ezi Magbegor, who was diagnosed with a facial fracture and is being reevaluated over a period of weeks, and Malonga is listed as questionable with a back issue. That second one decides how this game looks. Malonga missed the May 17 meeting with a concussion and Indiana won that one by eleven. She played the July 17 rematch, went for 28 and 14, and Seattle lost by three. The whole season series tells you what her availability is worth.

Losing a starting-caliber frontcourt defender against the league's best offense is not the setup Raman wanted out of the break, and losing both would be worse. Check the final injury report before you bet this one, because WNBA statuses move on game day.

One number does cut in Seattle's favor: the Storm allow the lowest opponent three-point percentage in the league at 30.3 percent, and they hold opponents to 43.0 percent from the field, fourth best. The record is bad. The defense, specifically on the perimeter, is not the reason why.

Head-to-head and the July 17 game

Indiana leads the 2026 season series 2-0, and both wins came at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Fever took the May 17 meeting 89-78, a comfortable but unspectacular win. The July 17 rematch was something else entirely.

Clark scored a career-high 45 points with 10 assists, four steals, and two blocks in a 110-107 win. It was the first 40-point, 10-assist game in WNBA history and a Fever franchise scoring record, and in the same night she became the fastest player to 200 career three-pointers, doing it in 74 games and breaking Katie Smith's mark of 81. Kelsey Mitchell added 30 and Monique Billings had 16. Malonga answered with 28 and 14 for Seattle.

Worth holding next to Tuesday's number: Indiana needed the greatest individual game in franchise history to beat a 6-win team by three points at home. The current line asks the Fever to win by nine and a half on the road.

Over the last ten meetings between these teams, Indiana is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread. This is the first time the two have met in Seattle in 2026.

Stat spotlight

Caitlin Clark Fever, G
45 PTS vs Seattle, Jul 17
A career high and a single-game franchise record, not her season mark. She averages 21.0 points and 7.9 assists.
Kelsey Mitchell Fever, G
23.3 PPG
Indiana's leading scorer on the season, and she put 30 on Seattle in the last meeting.
Dominique Malonga Storm, C
16.3 / 8.5
Points and rebounds per game. Went for 28 and 14 against Indiana on July 17.
Flau'jae Johnson Storm, G
13.7 PPG
Rookie averaging 5.3 rebounds. Her 28-point career high ended an 11-game Seattle skid in June.

What to watch

  • Clark's minutes coming out of the break. She has not gone past 29 minutes in her last four games and played about 21 in the All-Star Game. A week of rest helps, but the minutes plan is the plan.
  • Seattle at home is a different team. The Storm are 4-10 at Climate Pledge Arena and 2-13 on the road. Almost their entire win total comes at home, and this is their first look at Indiana in Seattle.
  • The best three-point offense against the best three-point defense. Indiana shoots 38.1 percent from deep, second in the league. Seattle allows 30.3 percent, first in the league. Something has to give, and it decides whether this is a blowout or a one-possession game.
  • Whether Malonga plays at all. She is questionable with a back issue, and with Magbegor already out, Seattle's frontcourt depth goes from thin to nonexistent without her. If she sits, Aliyah Boston has the paint to herself and the case for taking the points weakens badly.
  • The road-trip opener trap. First game back from a break, first night of a three-game trip, 9:30 PM ET tip. Sharp teams still show up. Tired ones cover nothing.

Betting odds and how the market is priced

Here is the BettorEdge community snapshot for Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm. These are community odds, priced by real bettors trading against each other with no built-in house margin, so the number you see is set by the market rather than padded with a book's juice. WNBA lines move on injury reports right up to tip, so treat these as a snapshot and shop for the best number.

MarketIndiana FeverSeattle Storm
Moneyline-390+330
Spread-9.5 (-108)+9.5 (-106)
Total (O/U)184.5 (Over -105, Under -107)
Kelsey Mitchell points21.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Read the moneyline honestly. Indiana at -390 implies winning roughly 80 percent of the time, and Seattle at +330 prices the Storm to win a little under a quarter of these. That is a fair straight-up read given a 17-10 team against a 6-23 team. The spread is where it gets interesting. Seattle is 16-11 against the spread this season while Indiana sits at 13-13, which is exactly what you would expect from a bad team that gets handed generous numbers every night and a good team that gets priced like one.

The recent history is the part the market has to weigh. Eleven days ago these teams played and Indiana won by three, at home, on a night Caitlin Clark scored 45. Seattle's problem this year has been converting competitive games into wins rather than staying in them. Against that, Indiana has hung 123 and 109 on opponents this month, and Seattle's frontcourt may be without both of its starting-caliber bigs. Those two readings point in opposite directions, which is why the number sits where it does.

The case on each side of the board

Three markets, and the argument both ways on each
Spread: Fever -9.5 (-108) / Storm +9.5 (-106)
For the points: Seattle is 16-11 against the spread, 4-10 at home against 2-13 on the road, and lost to this same team by three eleven days ago.
For the favorite: Indiana has put up 123 and 109 in blowouts this month, and if Malonga sits alongside Magbegor, Seattle has no answer for Aliyah Boston inside.
Kelsey Mitchell points 21.5 (-110 either way)
For the over: she averages 23.3, hung 30 on Seattle in the last meeting, and is carrying more creation with Clark on a minutes plan.
For the under: Seattle allows the lowest opponent three-point percentage in the league, and Mitchell's scoring leans on the three.
Total 184.5 (Over -105, Under -107)
For the under: Indiana scores 95.5 and Seattle allows 87.0, which lands near the number before you account for rust out of the break.
For the over: the July 17 meeting between these two went 217 combined.

Two things move these numbers before tip. If Clark plays a normal load, Indiana's ceiling is a 20-point win. And if Malonga is ruled out, the frontcourt math changes completely: Seattle without both Malonga and Magbegor has no answer for Boston inside, and nine and a half stops looking like a lot. Wait for the final injury report, then take the side you actually believe at a price the community sets rather than one a book pads.

Bet the matchup

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The Kelsey Mitchell points prop

The most interesting number on the board is Mitchell's points total at 21.5. She is scoring 23.3 per game, she went for 30 against Seattle eleven days ago, and with Clark on a minutes plan she is carrying more of the shot creation than a casual look at this roster would suggest. The counterweight is that Seattle's perimeter defense is legitimately the best in the league by opponent three-point percentage, and Mitchell's scoring leans on the three. That tension is why the community keeps both sides close to even money instead of taxing the popular over. On a traditional book you usually pay for the side everyone wants. Here the no-vig market lets you take the read you actually believe.

Open the live board

See every price move in real time. The community board shows the moneyline, spread, total, and player props with real posted money behind them, a signal no sportsbook will show you. Open it, find your number, and post it before the line moves off the injury report.

Before you bet: run the numbers

Know the real math before you lock anything in. Turn any price into a true win rate with our implied probability calculator, strip the juice to find the fair number with the no-vig calculator, and check your return with the betting calculator. Want the wider slate? The WNBA odds hub has community lines across the league. Then take your read to the marketplace and back it at a price a traditional sportsbook will not give you.

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm FAQ

What time is the Fever vs Storm game?

Tip-off is Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET (8:30 PM CT, 7:30 PM MT, 6:30 PM PT) at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle.

What channel is Fever vs Storm on?

The game is on ESPN nationally, with streaming available on Fubo and through the ESPN app with a TV provider login.

Is Caitlin Clark playing against the Storm?

Clark is listed as probable with a back injury for Tuesday's game in Seattle, so she is expected to play. Indiana has managed her on a minutes plan for much of the season, keeping her between 26 and 29 minutes in each of her last four games.

Is Dominique Malonga playing against the Fever?

Malonga is listed as questionable with a back issue for Tuesday's game, so her status is worth checking before tip-off. Seattle is already without Ezi Magbegor, who has a facial fracture, so losing Malonga as well would leave the Storm badly short in the frontcourt against Aliyah Boston.

Who won the last Fever vs Storm game?

Indiana won 110-107 on July 17, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse behind a career-high 45 points and 10 assists from Caitlin Clark. It was the first 40-point, 10-assist game in WNBA history, and Dominique Malonga answered with 28 points and 14 rebounds for Seattle.

Who is favored in Fever vs Storm?

Indiana is a heavy road favorite at around -390 in the BettorEdge community market, with Seattle near +330 and the spread at Fever -9.5. The total sits at 184.5.

What is the Fever vs Storm season series in 2026?

Indiana leads the 2026 season series 2-0, winning 89-78 on May 17 and 110-107 on July 17, both at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tuesday is the first meeting between the two in Seattle this season.

How do I bet on the Fever vs Storm game?

Pick your side, moneyline, spread, total, or a player prop, and place it on BettorEdge against another real bettor at a community price. New users can verify their ID for $10 to get started.

Is betting on BettorEdge legal?

Yes. BettorEdge is a peer-to-peer betting marketplace, legal across 45+ states, with identity verification built in. You are matched against other people, not a book that profits when you lose.

The bottom line

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm tips Tuesday, July 28 at 9:30 PM ET from Climate Pledge Arena on ESPN, with the Fever opening a three-game road trip and the Storm looking for something to build on. Indiana has the league's best offense, first place in the East, and a 2-0 season series lead. Seattle has a rookie worth watching, the league's stingiest three-point defense, and a home record that is meaningfully better than its road one. Indiana is the straight-up favorite, and the nine and a half is where the disagreement lives: a 16-11 against-the-spread record and a three-point game eleven days ago on one side, two blowouts this month and a thinned-out Seattle frontcourt on the other. Check the final injury report, compare prices before the number moves, pick your side on BettorEdge, and verify your ID for $10 to start. Better odds. You keep more.

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